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Let's Tow the Wilkins Ice Shelf to California

An enormous chunk of the Wilkins Ice Shelf in Antarctica started collapsing a few weeks ago. The slab, roughly the size of Connecticut, is "hanging by a thread." What will happen when over 5,000 square miles of ice break free? It could be a part of the coming ecological apocalypse. But if we just use the right technology, that iceberg could mean drinkable water for people in the parched regions of the Western U.S. and Australia where climate change is already creating terrible droughts.

Huge icebergs in Antarctica are actually relatively common. All ice shelves eventually collapse and form icebergs. When Antarctic glaciers (essentially massive, slow rivers of ice) reach the ocean, the ice floats, forming a shelf that remains attached to the glacier. Tidal and wave action flexes the shelf until it breaks - this can be accelerated by temperature increases. Just a few years ago, a chunk of the Larsen Ice Shelf almost as big as the Wilkins piece floated around for a few months until waves battered it against shore and broke it apart.

The total meltdown of the world's glaciers would raise sea level worldwide 200 meters. Even a small percentage of that would be bad news. And once they start melting, the loss of sun reflectivity would only serve to boost global warming.

So what's the good news? Icebergs are made of fresh water. Someone with the wherewithal could tow this iceberg to a hot region and use it as potable water. It's not exactly a new idea. In 1973, the RAND Corporation published a study called "Antarctic Icebergs as a Global Fresh Water Resource." They figured out that if someone could harvest just ten percent of Antarctica's total annual iceberg yield, it would provide water for 500 million people and make $10 billion each year (that's $48 billion today, if I did the inflation adjustment correctly). It would cost about $8 (again, in 1973 value) to deliver 1,000 cubic meters to Southern California. Factor in increased annual iceberg yield due to global warming and by 2018 the phrase "it's like a goldmine" could be replaced by "it's like an iceberg." Photo by National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC).

Massive ice shelf on verge of breakup [cnn.com]

7:40 AM on Tue Apr 1 2008
By Ed Grabianowski
1,511 views
32 comments

Comments

  • Ice Pirates! Why does that pic look like a cheap model?

  • No offense to the good people of southern California, but why not tow it to somewhere like Africa or India where they can use some nice clean drinking water?

  • @Skeller: Nice.

    They better move quickly so it doesn't melt on the way there!

  • @misteral: California is closer, and doesn't require crossing large tracts of warm equatorial water? Just a thought.

  • @Skeller: Great, now I have to worry about Space Herpes.

  • @Git Em SteveDave: How exactly do you get from Antarctica to California without crossing the equator?

    Also, if "just 10% will provide water to 500 million" (doesn't say for how long), that means 5/6ths of the world's population could completely use up the Antarctic ice. Doesn't sound like a very long term resource to me.

  • Wasn't this an episode of Salvage 1? And instead of towing, didn't they use rockets? And instead of providing drinking water for 500 million people, didn't it result in an action-packed two-part episode and the eventual destruction of the iceberg by exploding rocket?

  • @twalker920: The word "annual" was missing. It's 10% of the icebergs that calve from Antarctic glaciers in a single year.

  • Actually the good news is (A) this ice sheet won't affect water levels because it's already floating on the ocean, and (B) ozone is a greenhouse gas, so the hole above the south pole is actually keeping temperatures lower than they would be.

    Now, if only we had nuclear winter to do that for the rest of the world.

  • They have been thinking about this for decades. There was a plan to make aircraft carriers out of ice in the Arctic during WWII. They found that mixing sawdust with water and freezing it worked as an outside layer to slow melting. That might work if they ever tried to move one of these, but mylar might be cheaper.

  • How about people quit trying to turn the deserts into habitable places and living there. I'm looking at you Southern California, Utah, Idaho, Arizona, Nevada, Wyoming, Texas, ect .....

  • They figured out that if someone could harvest just ten percent of Antarctica's total annual iceberg yield, it would provide water for 500 million people and make $10 billion each year

    Great. Did they also figure out how much money we'd save if we had cheap cold fusion?

  • The amount of fuel needed to pull that much mass through the ocean up to CA would be environmentally unfriendly. We would be best off using a nuclear powered aircraft carrier to haul it up. "It nev-er rains is south-ern Cal-if-ornia..."

  • We just need enough strong swimmers to stick their tongues to it and head for a sunny climate.

  • @Jeff-Minor: Use OTECs to power electric motors. Add cylindrical sails for supplemental thrust.

  • "The total meltdown of the world's glaciers would raise sea level worldwide 200 meters."

    You might want to check your numbers, what I've seen predicted has been more like a 200 MILImeter increase in sea level over the next 100 years from glacial melt.

  • Andy Griffith here...

    I already tried this. Didn't work.

  • @sirtimbly: 200 meters is a worst-case scenario number. That would require the total melting of all Earth's polar ice. Obviously the predicted melting numbers are vastly lower, but it gives an idea of just how much water is locked up in those glaciers!

  • Image of Gopherit Gopherit at 09:51 AM on 04/01/08 *

    @Jeff-Minor: That's what the new navy rail gun is for...

  • I know its not very sci-fi, but this popped-up in the Richard Pryor movie Brewster's Millions, about 20 years ago.

  • @Jeff-Minor: might as well use those nuclear carriers for something. They are not a whole lot of good in an anti-terrorist role. And you know, they are angsting out about new nuclear power plants, and yet the navy builds a few more every year. Probably have hundreds on hand.

    I grew up a few miles from the first prototype Nautilus Type reactor, at Combustion Engineering. They used it to power their plant, never felt the need to shut off the parking lot lights.

    And i know they could use those ships to power civil needs, they powered one of the Hawaiian Islands with a sub years ago when they had an oil shortage.

  • First we use the railgun to blast some icebergs apart, just for fun. Then we build huge desal stations run by solar power all around the coast of Australia, pumping water into lowland deserts to create fresh water seas. If we want terraform something we can start here with something really basic, like simply moving liquid water through pipes. All it takes is money, or self-replication nanotech. We could fill the Sahara with a see, fill the Great Salt lake, top off the Dead Sea...And that would just require salt water right out of the ocean. We have lots of room for water if we start pumping it where we need it, now.

  • @Skeller:
    HUZZAH!
    yarg it be chillier than wench penguin's false eye, yarg

  • @Skeller: Perhaps a scene taken from Ice Pirates?

    @Git Em SteveDave: Those space herpes are the kind you don't want crawlin' in your bed sheets while you're sleeping!

  • @Git Em SteveDave: Er, how do you figure that California, whose southernmost point is probably more than 10,000km from any part of Antarctica, is close than Africa, whose southernmost point is perhaps 5,000km from the Antarctic coast?

  • Image of Gopherit Gopherit at 11:20 AM on 04/01/08 *

    @Jeff-Minor: I was thinking more of scaling it up a few dozen times and sending ice via sabot rounds with a nice icy center in to suborbital trajectories to the continental US. Sure, the landings would be messy. It's a work in progress.

    Desalinization probably is the best way to go.

  • Oh, just call the Grey Area in and have it tractor up a few giga tonnes and drop it where we need it. I'm thinking that Death Valley would be a nice place to start.

  • Back in the early 70's, possibly late 60's, George Pal was developing "Voyage of the Berg" about an iceberg being towed to Saudi Arabia. I don't think it ever got past the concept painting stage.

  • @misteral: Because folks in California can afford to pay for it.

    @AmishJohn: OTEC would not work well in the polar seas.

  • "How about people quit trying to turn the deserts into habitable places and living there. I'm looking at you Southern California, Utah, Idaho, Arizona, Nevada, Wyoming, Texas, ect"

    ^ this

    The issue isn't that we're somehow running out of a resource that LITERALLY falls from the sky. The issue is that people choose to live in deserts.

  • @PhilipFry: @twalker920: Sorry, I got my poles mixed up b/c I thought these idiots would be bringing it 1/4 down the Earth, not 3/4 up the Earth.

  • Reminds me of how Futurama dealt with global warming :)

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