The Quake Catcher Network is the latest effort in distributed computing that aims to turn your computer into a node in a vast, distributed earthquake detection network. Developed by University of California seismologists and computer scientists, Quake Catcher uses accelerometers already built into many laptops to detect shaking. If several nodes produce consistent hits at once, the word goes out across the internet in real time: Earthquake in Progress. Once there are enough nodes in active fault zones, the researchers think they can pick up seismic waves on the Network and transmit a warning to populated areas with somewhere between 10 and 20 seconds of warning. After the break, we take a look at three of the most dangerous places on Earth that are most likely to need Quake Catcher.
The San Francisco Bay Area. Let's face it: Californians love living dangerously. San Francisco was nearly wiped out in 1906 by a big shaker that registered 7.9 on the Richter scale. Fires swept through the city and pictures from afterwards resemble Hiroshima circa September, 1945. The city was rocked again in 1989 by the Loma Prieta quake. Stress is constantly building all along the San Andreas fault, so Southern California's also at risk. But the presence of the Hayward fault in Berkeley, just across the bay from San Francisco makes the place a time bomb waiting to go off: a 2002 study by the USGS said there's a 62% chance of a magnitude 6.7 or greater quake in the region between 2003 and 2032.
The Cascadia subduction zone, better known as coastal Oregon, Washington State, and Vancouver Island. Cascadia makes the San Andreas look like a pair of maracas. Recent work from seismologist Chris Goldfinger and company at Oregon State University shows that Cascadia has unleashed hell to the tune of 15 quakes of magnitude 8.0 or greater over the last 3000 years. Eight of those probably exceeded 9.0, making them among the most powerful known. The average time between earthquakes is around 220 years, but the last time the fault slipped was 1700, when a 9.0 quake sent a 5-meter high tsunami rippling onto the shores of Japan. In short, look out Pacific Rim: you're overdue.
Mentawai Islands, Indonesia. Everyone knows Indonesia is a tough place to live when it comes to earthquakes and tsunamis (at left you can see Banda Aceh before and after the recent tsunami), but unless you're watching the ticker it's hard to fathom just how bad things are. Back in December, earthquake expert Danny Natawidjaja of the Indonesian Institute of Sciences dropped some knowledge on the rest of the geo-community at the annual Fall meeting of the American Geophysical Union. Not only had there been addition an 8.4 quake in September of 2007, but a major section of the fault was still locked, and had the potential to shake the Earth even harder than the 2004 monster that caused the Indian Ocean tsunami.
He had no idea how right he was. Between February 25 and March 3 of this year (that's one week, for those keep score at home) there were five earthquakes greater than magnitude 6.5. The section of fault Natawidjaja was talking about in December still hasn't popped.
Note: If you want to participate in Quake Catcher, but don't have a laptop with an accelerometer built in: For desktops, QCN has built a USB key with the appropriate hardware, and Ars Technica is teasing us with the possibility of Wii and iPhone-based detection.
Source: University of California, Riverside
Photos: Water Encyclopedia (San Andreas), National Archives (1906 image), Telegraph.co.uk (Banda Aceh)











Comments
So cool.. Put the science back in science fiction and make the world safe for hardware geeks.
Now that we have the networks and capacity to compute all this data, input is very important, obviously enough. This concept needs to be utilized for tornadoes in the south and midwest.. I wonder if a program could be written to recognize the "freight train" noise of an active tornado..
Would it be possible to cry wolf by getting a lot of people to shake their laptop at the same time?
Wouldn't these laptops need to have gps available? Until that becomes a standard feature like the accelerometers have become, I don't understand how the software would know where these nodes are located. Are they using known wireless hotspots to triangulate location?
Ah, when I read the actual article (what a concept!) I found that the software asks for your lat/lon or address. useful for the desktops with the USB doohickey, less useful for the laptops who don't tend to stay in one place.
Very cool indeed. Though it seems by the time you're getting the warning, even in a matter of seconds, your laptop would be shakin' too. And wouldn't it also depend on how much caffeine you ingested? :)
"Stress is constantly building all along the San Andreas fault, so Southern California's also at risk."
Stress is constantly building period. Forget the Pacific Rim, EARTH is long overdue. By "stress" measurement alone, the planet will soon likely crack like an egg.
A working, or so they say, version of this tech went online last October here in Japan. It is possible because of the overwhelming amount of seismic detectors in use Once an earthquake is detected the travel time for the wave moving through the ground is almost instantly calculated for points all through Japan. This info is then sent to receiver stations in people homes or in shopping malls. Granted, 15 seconds warning is very much, but it is enough to turn off the gas taps and get under something sturdy.
here:
[www.jma.go.jp]
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