@Moonlighter: none of the comments on that post show it's a hoax. there just one guy with a voltimeter hooked up to his wifes hair. hardly conclusive proof either way. granted it could still be a hoax but it's hardly be proven as such, at least not in those comments.
"Kids...someday there will be fewer and fewer American workers and you will be paid tons of money for your work skills. And if you think this Skylab stuff is cool, heck...you'll probably be living on the moon by the year 2000." -
Mrs. Downey's 3rd Grade class, Edison Elementary School, Alameda CA.
Yeah...thanks for the tip lady. And you'll be sitting in the Caycos making 12% returns with the Madoff fund. Bon appetit!
I don't think we are going to see jobs eliminated so much as drastically reduced. There are still people making a living from building furniture using only hand tools, for example. It's a niche market, to be sure, but it still exists, and appreciation of it rises as Ikea and Crate and Barrel drown the world in a ocean of machine made stuff.
The theory I made up is that the marketplace always gets excited by higher tech ways of building things, particularly because the price of common goods tends to come down. (Machines producing more stuff for less money, etc) But there is a return swing on that line, where the market also starts to see the value of older techniques. Think of clothing: for millenia hand made clothes were the only choice, and most people had a very limited number of clothing articles. As mills and sewing machines came into ready availability, more people were able to afford multiple sets of clothes. Now you can go into the darkest jungles of the world, and find locals wearing T-shirts with Michael Jordan on them. But if you want to impress the people around you with the quality of your clothes, you get something hand made, like a Bond-street suit. How something was created becomes part of its value.
Having said all of that, I can't wait until I can my hands on a 3D printer! Those things are going to shake the world of manufacturing right down to its roots, just you wait and see...
"We already see a future in which the humble contact lens becomes a real platform, like the iPhone is today, with lots of developers contributing their ideas and inventions."
Multi-touching one's eyes? Heh... the Three Stooges would be happy to see their eye-poking routine becoming commonplace. :)
As humanity progress's, less and less jobs are about survival and more and more about entertainment and research.
Thats the real "progress" its not less jobs.
Its the switch from uncreative to creative work.
Augmented Reality will indeed make huge volumes of jobs redundant, as well as reducing humanity's environmental impact.
But why wait for a contact lens? Whats so bad about a sleak pair of glass's, or side-based retina projection.
Both infinitely easier to make with current technology, and probably a darn site cheaper.
@Sunshineyness: I can imagine when somebody thought of planting stuff instead of going looking for it... What's going to happen with forragers when we don't need so many? What's going to happen with our hunters?
@twDarkflame: By "a few hours," do you mean "nine hours every day?" O_o Heck, in some European countries the recent trend has been towards a longer work-week, not a short one... I mean, sure, compared to the 25-hour day or whatever they had in the Industrial Revolution times it's a huge improvement, but let's not get carried away.
@ParryLost: They're pushing the 60 hours work week, and, even with the huge majority of Europeans being opposed to it, I think it has been approved.
Its proponents are presenting it with this argument: There are lots of people who already work those hours: doctors, firemen, etc. This is a way to regularize it so that something you do a couple times every week is not presented as "exceptional" (extra hours).
Of course, everybody I know who works those hours is opposed to it, because, well, what the hell, If I have to work 8 hours more after working my regular 8 hours, that is NOT normal and those second 8 hours have to be paid more than the first 8 hours, and this is going to be a covered way to pay them less.
At least in Spain, where unpaid extra hours are more the rule than the exception, most people who work in the private sector, and many that work for the State, gets the feeling that working 10 hours a day and being paid for eight is now a reality that we're taking little steps to change, and this regulation looks like a huge step in the opposite direction, because, with an unemployment rate that's expected to reach 20% in a few months, you can't exactly say "you're exploiting me, I'll go to work for another company" if they ask you to work 60 hours for the same pay than you worked more than 40 before.
So right around the time of the Columbian Exchange, when everybody is trading goods and diseases and the likes, people start making enough cash to pursue what they want to in life. The beginnings of capitalism and world trade. Does this mean that the natural evolution is for a society where one does not take in the ritual of the daily grind ( from minimum wage, vastly overpriced university's, to work) and they instead pursue only what they want and interests them? Did I sit through lectures about how Freud is a real mother fucker for naught? Alright, ignore that last part...
Then there are the technologies that will destroy entire industries.
As the cost and speed of 3-D printing decreases and increases respectively, manufacturing will be hit pretty badly, especially in the little things. I refer of course to miniatures for use in tabletop games, collectible or otherwise.
09/11/09
09/10/09
09/10/09
09/10/09
Already mentioned on Giz, pretty much shown to be a hoax in the discussion.
09/10/09
09/10/09
09/10/09
09/10/09
09/07/09
"Kids...someday there will be fewer and fewer American workers and you will be paid tons of money for your work skills. And if you think this Skylab stuff is cool, heck...you'll probably be living on the moon by the year 2000." -
Mrs. Downey's 3rd Grade class, Edison Elementary School, Alameda CA.
Yeah...thanks for the tip lady. And you'll be sitting in the Caycos making 12% returns with the Madoff fund. Bon appetit!
09/06/09
The theory I made up is that the marketplace always gets excited by higher tech ways of building things, particularly because the price of common goods tends to come down. (Machines producing more stuff for less money, etc) But there is a return swing on that line, where the market also starts to see the value of older techniques. Think of clothing: for millenia hand made clothes were the only choice, and most people had a very limited number of clothing articles. As mills and sewing machines came into ready availability, more people were able to afford multiple sets of clothes. Now you can go into the darkest jungles of the world, and find locals wearing T-shirts with Michael Jordan on them. But if you want to impress the people around you with the quality of your clothes, you get something hand made, like a Bond-street suit. How something was created becomes part of its value.
Having said all of that, I can't wait until I can my hands on a 3D printer! Those things are going to shake the world of manufacturing right down to its roots, just you wait and see...
09/07/09
09/08/09
09/06/09
Multi-touching one's eyes? Heh... the Three Stooges would be happy to see their eye-poking routine becoming commonplace. :)
09/06/09
Louis Wu in Ringworld
09/06/09
Thats the real "progress" its not less jobs.
Its the switch from uncreative to creative work.
09/06/09
But why wait for a contact lens? Whats so bad about a sleak pair of glass's, or side-based retina projection.
Both infinitely easier to make with current technology, and probably a darn site cheaper.
09/06/09
09/06/09
09/06/09
The world was utterly revolutionized in the 20th century, and I for one hope and aim to contribute it to do the same in the 21st.
09/06/09
Even a hundred years ago the mere idea of that ratio would be insane.
09/06/09
09/06/09
Its proponents are presenting it with this argument: There are lots of people who already work those hours: doctors, firemen, etc. This is a way to regularize it so that something you do a couple times every week is not presented as "exceptional" (extra hours).
Of course, everybody I know who works those hours is opposed to it, because, well, what the hell, If I have to work 8 hours more after working my regular 8 hours, that is NOT normal and those second 8 hours have to be paid more than the first 8 hours, and this is going to be a covered way to pay them less.
At least in Spain, where unpaid extra hours are more the rule than the exception, most people who work in the private sector, and many that work for the State, gets the feeling that working 10 hours a day and being paid for eight is now a reality that we're taking little steps to change, and this regulation looks like a huge step in the opposite direction, because, with an unemployment rate that's expected to reach 20% in a few months, you can't exactly say "you're exploiting me, I'll go to work for another company" if they ask you to work 60 hours for the same pay than you worked more than 40 before.
09/06/09
09/06/09
"possible response: fuck you, asshole".
then again, I can do that now. :D
#@!
09/06/09
09/06/09
As the cost and speed of 3-D printing decreases and increases respectively, manufacturing will be hit pretty badly, especially in the little things. I refer of course to miniatures for use in tabletop games, collectible or otherwise.