How Bayes’ Rule Can Make You A Better Thinker

Having a strong opinion about an issue can make it hard to take in new information about it, or to consider other options when they're presented. Thankfully, there’s an old rule that can help us avoid this problem — and even help us make good decisions when we’re uncertain. Here’s how Bayesian Reasoning works, and why… » 4/08/13 12:30pm 4/08/13 12:30pm

Why you're probably not as rational as you think you are — and what you…

When it comes to self-improvement, few people consider their reasoning skills. Most of us simply assume - and take for granted - that under most circumstances, we formulate perfectly rational opinions. But according to an emerging subculture of rationality gurus, there's still plenty of room for improvement. They… » 11/02/12 11:00am 11/02/12 11:00am